基于景观结构的沱江流域土地利用生态风险时空变化分析*
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内江师范学院 地理与资源科学学院

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F301.2

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四川省社会科学重点研究基地沱江流域高质量发展研究中心项目(TJGZL-2023-07)


Analysis of Spatiotemporal Changes in Ecological Risks of Land Use in the Tuojiang River Basin based on Landscape Structure
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School of Geography and Resources Science of Neijiang Normal University,Neijiang

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    摘要:

    本文以沱江流域为研究对象,基于2005—2020年的遥感数据,从景观结构的角度,利用GIS和GeoDa软件,同时结合土地利用类型转移矩阵,构建景观土地生态风险评价模型,分析了研究区土地生态风险的时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)耕地为研究区的景观本底值,受自然和人为因素的影响,15年间,耕地和林地面积减少,建设用地、水域、草地、未利用地面积增加,新增建设用地面积最多,91.95%来源于耕地,是建设用地的主要来源。(2)2005-2020年的生态风险指数,经计算,全局莫兰指数(Moran’s I)值均为正数,在99%的置信度标准下,通过了显著性检验,说明生态风险区在空间上具有显著的正相关关系且呈现空间聚集状态,“高-高”聚集是土地生态风险的主要聚集模式。(3)15年间,在空间分布上,低风险等级整体上有向中下游转移的趋势,研究区以高风险区和较高风险区为主,分别呈片状和条带状较集中地分布于流域上游的山区和中下游的丘陵地区,分别占到研究区总面积的49.20%和48.98%;从面积变化的趋势来看,低风险区、较低风险区、中等风险区面积逐年分别增加了1122.91、3581.10、21698.83 hm2,较高风险区面积先增加后减少,总体增加了582436.94 hm2,高风险区面积先减少后增加,总体减少了608839.78 hm2,沱江流域土地利用生态风险整体上趋于减弱;总体来看,除较高风险区向高风险区少量转化外,其余均以较高等级风险区向较低风险区转移占比较多,风险区的转化均表现为相邻等级之间的互相转化,说明研究区生态风险变化相对稳定,没有急剧变化的区域。

    Abstract:

    This paper took Tuojiang River Basin as the research object, based on the remote sensing data from 2005 to 2020, from the perspective of landscape structure, using GIS and GeoDa software, and using the Land Stochastic Matrix to build a landscape land ecological risk assessment model, and analyzed the temporal and spatial changes of land ecological risk in the study area. The results indicate that: (1) Cultivated land is the landscape background value of the study area. Affected by natural and human factors, the area of cultivated land and forest land has decreased over the past 15 years, while the area of construction land, water bodies, grasslands, and unused land has increased. The newly added construction land area is the largest, with 91.95% coming from cultivated land, which is the main source of construction land. (2) The ecological risk index from 2005 to 2020 is calculated, and the Moran's I values are all positive. At a 99% confidence level, the significance test is passed, indicating that the ecological risk areas have a significant positive correlation in space and exhibit a spatial aggregation state. The "high-high" aggregation is the main aggregation mode of land ecological risk. (3) Over the past 15 years, in terms of spatial distribution, the low risk level has shown an overall trend of transferring to the middle and lower reaches. The research area is mainly composed of high-risk areas and higher-risk areas, which are concentrated in the mountainous areas in the upper reaches of the basin and the hilly areas in the middle and lower reaches, and accounting for 49.20% and 48.98% of the total area of the research area, respectively. From the trend of area change, the areas of low risk areas, lower risk areas, and medium risk areas have increased by 1122.91, 3581.10, and 21698.83 hm2 respectively year by year. The areas of higher risk areas have first increased and then decreased, with an overall increase of 582436.94 hm2. The areas of high risk areas have first decreased and then increased, with an overall decrease of 608839.78 hm2. The overall ecological risk of land use in the Tuojiang River Basin tends to weaken. Overall, except for a small amount of transformation from higher-risk areas to high-risk areas, most of the other areas are transferred from higher level risk areas to lower level risk areas. The transformation of risk areas is manifested as mutual transformation between adjacent levels, indicating that the ecological risk changes of land use in the Tuojiang River Basin are relatively stable and there are no areas with sharp changes.

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引用本文

谢贤健.基于景观结构的沱江流域土地利用生态风险时空变化分析*[J].土壤,2024,56(3):646-654. XIE Xianjian. Analysis of Spatiotemporal Changes in Ecological Risks of Land Use in the Tuojiang River Basin based on Landscape Structure[J]. Soils,2024,56(3):646-654

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  • 收稿日期:2023-07-16
  • 最后修改日期:2023-09-18
  • 录用日期:2023-09-26
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-07-12
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