基于SHAP方法的东北黑土区土壤质量评价指标最小数据集构建
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S158

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中国科学院战略性先导科技专项子课题(XDA28010403,XDA28010101)、江苏省科技计划“一带一路”创新合作项目(BZ2023003)和中国科学院南京土壤研究所“十四五”自主部署项目(ISSAS2418)资助。


Construction of Minimum Data Set of Soil Quality Assessment Indicators in Black Soil Region of Northeast China Based on SHAP Method
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the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2021YFD1500202, 2024YFD1501102); the Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDA28010100); the Science and Technology Plan for the Belt and Road Innovation Cooperation Project of Jiangsu Province, China (BZ2023003)

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    摘要:

    针对传统耕地土壤质量评价指标最小数据集(MDS)筛选方法在区域尺度应用中存在的局限性问题,本文以我国东北黑土区耕地表层(0~20 cm) 土壤为研究对象,基于随机森林模型和Shapely加性解释(SHAP)模型,提出了适用于区域尺度的耕地土壤质量评价指标MDS筛选方法。结果表明:基于传统的主成分分析法(PCA)筛选出的MDS包括有机质、pH、砂粒、有效磷和速效钾;基于SHAP法筛选出的MDS包括有机质、pH、黏粒、有效磷和容重。对比结果显示,基于SHAP法构建的MDS的土壤质量指数(SQI)与基于全量数据集的SQI之间具有更强的相关性(R2=0.82),相比之下,基于PCA法构建的MDS的SQI与之对应的相关性仅为R2=0.63,表明相较于传统的PCA法,SHAP法在精简土壤指标数量的同时还能够保留更丰富的信息。此外,由SHAP法获得的SQI与作物产量之间的相关性更强(R2=0.40),远高于由PCA法得出的结果(R2=0.15),表明由SHAP法构建的MDS更能准确反映研究区域内土壤质量的实际状况。综上所述,本研究基于SHAP法构建的MDS和SQI模型不仅实用且稳健,可为东北黑土区耕地土壤质量评估与管理提供强有力的工具。

    Abstract:

    In response to the limitations of the traditional minimum data set (MDS) screening method for cultivated soil quality assessment indicators in the regional scale application, this study focused on the cultivated surface soil (0-20 cm) in the black soil area of northeastern China, and proposed a MDS screening method for cultivated soil quality assessment applicable to the regional scale based on the random forest and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) models. The results indicated that the MDS screened by the traditional principal component analysis (PCA) method included organic matter, pH, sand, available phosphorus, and available potassium, whereas MDS screened by the SHAP method included organic matter, pH, clay, available phosphorus, and bulk density. The comparative results showed that the soil quality index (SQI) derived from the MDS constructed using the SHAP method exhibited a stronger correlation with the SQI based on the total dataset (R2=0.82). In contrast, the correlation for the SQI derived from the PCA-based MDS was only R2=0.63. This indicates that, compared to the traditional PCA method, the SHAP method can retain more comprehensive information while effectively reducing the number of soil indicators. Furthermore, SQI obtained by SHAP method showed a stronger correlation with crop yield (R2=0.40), significantly higher than the result from PCA method (R2=0.15). This indicated that MDS established by the SHAP method could more accurately reflect the actual soil quality conditions in the study area. In conclusion, MDS and SQI models constructed in this study based on SHAP method are not only practical and robust but also can provide a powerful tool for soil quality assessment and management of cultivated land in the black soil region of Northeast China.

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张超,樊亚男,刘汉强,曾文彪,姜军,张凤,胡文友,刘刚.基于SHAP方法的东北黑土区土壤质量评价指标最小数据集构建[J].土壤,2026,58(2):467-476. ZHANG Chao, FAN Ya'nan, LIU Hanqiang, ZENG Wenbiao, JIANG Jun, ZHANG Feng, HU Wenyou, LIU Gang. Construction of Minimum Data Set of Soil Quality Assessment Indicators in Black Soil Region of Northeast China Based on SHAP Method[J]. Soils,2026,58(2):467-476

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-13
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-19
  • 录用日期:2025-02-25
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-09
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