浙江省土地利用碳排放时空特征及影响因素研究
作者:
作者单位:

1.浙江财经大学公共管理学院;2.浙江财经大学东方学院;3.浙江工商大学公共管理学院

中图分类号:

F121.3

基金项目:

教育部人文社会科学规划(24YJA630123).


Investigation into Spatial and Temporal Patterns and Determinants of Land Use-Related Carbon Emissions in Zhejiang Province
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Public Administration,Zhejiang University of Finance Economics;2.Zhejiang University of Finance &3.Economics Dongfang College;4.School of Public Administration,Zhejiang Gongshang University

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    摘要:

    以浙江省为研究区域,利用碳排放系数法对土地利用直接和间接碳排放进行核算,研究其土地利用碳排放时空特征及影响因素,为浙江省土地利用低碳化政策的制定提供参考。结果表明:(1)在研究期内浙江省土地利用变化主要表现为建设用地的转入和耕地与林地的转出。(2)浙江省土地利用净碳排放量增加迅速,不同地类碳排放差异较大,碳排放的主要来源是建设用地所产生的。(3)浙江北部地区土地利用净碳排放量明显高于南部地区,各地市净碳排放量差异明显,局部存在一定的聚集特征,主要表现为以绍兴为代表的“高-高聚集区”和以温州为代表的“高-低聚集区”。(4)在浙江省,能源消费强度、消费密度、建设用地规模、经济发展水平以及人口规模,这五种因素推动了土地利用净碳排放量的上升。相反,碳排放强度和土地利用经济效率则对浙江省的土地利用净碳排放产生了抑制作用。因此建议从土地利用、能源利用、经济发展和人口规模四个方面入手,制定旨在减少土地利用过程中碳排放的政策,进一步促进浙江省土地利用低碳发展。

    Abstract:

    Using Zhejiang Province as the primary research area, we utilized the carbon emission coefficient method to quantify both direct and indirect carbon emissions arising from land use activities. Furthermore, we conducted an in-depth analysis of the spatial and temporal patterns, as well as the underlying factors influencing these land use-related carbon emissions, with the aim of providing valuable insights for the formulation of effective low-carbon land use policies in Zhejiang Province. The results show that: (1) Throughout the study, the primary trend in land use change in Zhejiang Province was the influx of construction land coupled with the outflow of both cultivated and forested areas. (2) The net carbon emissions from land use in Zhejiang Province are experiencing a rapid surge. There are notable differences in the carbon emissions associated with different types of land use. Notably, the carbon emissions originating from construction land constitute the primary source. (3) The net carbon emission of land use in northern Zhejiang is significantly higher than that in southern Zhejiang. There are obvious differences in net carbon emissions among different cities. There are certain aggregation characteristics locally, mainly manifested as the "high-high aggregation area" represented by Shaoxing and the "high-low aggregation area" represented by Wenzhou. (4) Five factors, specifically energy consumption intensity, energy consumption density, the scale of construction land, the level of economic development, and population size, contribute to the rise in net carbon emissions from land use in Zhejiang Province. Conversely, the factors of carbon emission intensity and land use economic efficiency act as inhibitors of net carbon emissions from land use in the province. Thus, it is advisable to devise policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions from land use, taking into account land use practices, energy consumption, economic growth, and population size, in order to further advance the low-carbon development of land use in Zhejiang Province..

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-02
  • 最后修改日期:2025-03-19
  • 录用日期:2025-03-24
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