基于多源时空数据的区县尺度土壤pH变化驱动机制解析 —以湖北省咸宁市咸安区为例
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1.华中农业大学资源与环境学院;2.湖北省咸宁市咸安区农业农村局

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S153.4

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Analysis of the Driving Mechanisms of Soil pH Changes in Xian"an District, Hubei Province Based on Multi-Source Spatiotemporal Data
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1.College of Resources and Environment,Huazhong Agricultural University;2.Agriculture and Rural Affairs Bureau of Xianning District,Xianning

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    摘要:

    土壤pH对于保证土壤肥力、维持生态系统结构和功能至关重要。准确揭示区域土壤酸化的关键驱动因子和机制,对土壤酸化调控与质量提升有重要意义。本文以湖北省咸宁市咸安区为研究区,首先基于样点数据和数字土壤制图方法对2024年的土壤pH值进行空间预测,结合二普时期土壤pH值空间分布数据,利用参数最优地理探测器以及灰色关联分析模型识别影响农田土壤pH变化的主要驱动因子。在此基础上,借助结构方程模型对耕地土壤pH值时空变化进行驱动机制量化解析。研究结果显示:四十年间土壤pH的变化范围为-2.39~2.19,其中,约72.5%的区域pH呈下降趋势;有机质、全钾、人口密度为核心驱动因子,土地利用类型和母质为地理探测器主导因子,即空间解释力极强但过程关联较弱;氮肥施用量、年日照时数和距道路距离为空间解释力及过程关联均中等的均衡性因子;曲率、近地面SO2浓度为过程关联较强的因子,综合考虑并结合理论知识参与后续分析;结构方程模型分析进一步阐明土壤有机质和全钾含量对土壤pH变化具有显著的正向直接效应,而人口密度对其有显著的负向直接效应,且人口密度还通过影响有机质、全钾、氮肥施用量及近地面SO2浓度构成复杂的间接驱动网络。

    Abstract:

    【Objective】Soil pH is crucial for ensuring soil fertility and maintaining the structure and function of ecosystems. Accurately identifying the key drivers of regional soil acidification provides an important basis for regulating soil acidification and improving soil quality in the study area. 【Method】This study takes Xianning District, Hubei Province as the research area. First, the optimal parameter geographic detector and grey slope correlation analysis models were used to identify the main drivers affecting farmland soil pH changes. On this basis, the structural equation model was employed to quantitatively analyze the driving mechanisms of arable soil. 【Result】The results show that over forty years, soil pH changed within a range of -2.39 to 2.19, with approximately 72.5% of the area showing a declining trend in pH. Comprehensive analysis of the two models indicates that organic matter, total potassium, and population density are core driving factors, while land use types and parent material are the dominant factors in the geographic detector, meaning they have strong spatial explanatory power but weaker process correlation. Nitrogen fertilizer application, annual sunshine hours, and distance to roads serve as balanced factors with moderate spatial explanatory power and process correlation. Curvature and near-surface SO2 concentration are factors with strong process correlation, which are considered in subsequent analysis in conjunction with theoretical knowledge. 【Conclusion】Structural equation modeling analysis further elucidates that soil organic matter and total potassium content have significant positive direct effects on changes in soil pH, whereas population density exerts a significant negative direct effect. Moreover, population density also forms a complex indirect driving network by influencing organic matter, total potassium, nitrogen fertilizer application, and near-surface SO2 concentration.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-04-22
  • 最后修改日期:2026-06-12
  • 录用日期:2026-06-15
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