基于多源环境协变量的东北地区耕地表层土壤有机碳数字土壤制图
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1.新疆农业大学资源与环境学院;2.土壤与农业可持续发展全国重点实验室中国科学院南京土壤研究所

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S159

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Digital Soil Mapping of Cropland Topsoil Organic Carbon in Northeast China Based on Multi-source Environmental Covariates
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1.College of Resources and Environment,Xinjiang Agricultural University;2.State Key Laboratory of Soil and Sustainable Agriculture,Institute of Soil Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    准确刻画耕地表层土壤有机碳(soil organic carbon,SOC)空间分布,是东北地区耕地质量评价与土壤资源管理的重要基础。本文以2022年7~8月采集的640个0~20 cm耕地土壤样点为基础,选取25个环境协变量构建模型,比较随机森林(random forest,RF)与极端梯度提升(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)的预测性能。将640个样点划分为512个训练样点和128个测试样点,在训练集内采用10折交叉验证进行参数优化,并以测试集评价模型。结果表明,RF和XGBoost训练集10折最优RMSE分别为7.34和7.43 g.kg?1;测试集中,RF的R2、RMSE分别为0.64和6.70 g.kg?1,XGBoost分别为0.63和6.83 g.kg?1。RF的测试集预测性能略优,因而用于空间制图。变量重要性分析表明,年平均温度(BIO1)在RF和XGBoost模型中的重要性均居首,MODIS夜间地表温度等温度变量也表现出较高的预测贡献。最终,利用RF模型生成了东北地区耕地SOC空间预测图。

    Abstract:

    Accurately characterizing the spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) in cropland topsoil is essential for cropland quality assessment and soil resource management in Northeast China. This study used 640 cropland topsoil samples collected at a depth of 0–20 cm during July and August 2022, together with 25 environmental covariates, to develop random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models and compare their predictive performance. The samples were divided into a training set (n = 512) and a test set (n = 128). Model hyperparameters were optimized through 10-fold cross-validation within the training set, and predictive performance was evaluated using the test set. The optimal cross-validated RMSE values for RF and XGBoost were 7.34 and 7.43 g kg?1, respectively. On the test set, RF achieved an R2 of 0.64 and an RMSE of 6.70 g kg?1, whereas XGBoost achieved an R2 of 0.63 and an RMSE of 6.83 g kg?1. RF therefore exhibited slightly better predictive performance and was selected for spatial mapping. Feature-importance analysis showed that annual mean temperature (BIO1) ranked as the most important predictor in both models, while MODIS nighttime land surface temperature and other temperature-related covariates also ranked highly. Finally, the RF model was used to generate a spatial prediction map of cropland SOC across Northeast China, providing a spatially explicit basis for regional cropland quality assessment and soil resource management.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-07-24
  • 最后修改日期:2026-10-10
  • 录用日期:2026-10-13
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