基于转移概率的区域土壤三维随机模拟及其不确定性评价
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国家自然科学基金项目(41171179,41001127)和中国科学院重点布置项目(CXJQ120111)资助


Transition Probability Based 3D Stochastic Simulation and Uncertainty Assessment of Soil Texture at Field Scale
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    摘要:

    土壤质地空间变异对于区域土壤水分和溶质循环模拟研究至关重要。基于转移概率(Markov链)的随机条件模拟是一种能融合多源信息技术的地统计学模拟方法,与传统插值法和基于变异函数的条件模拟相比有诸多优势。本研究在封丘县域范围内采集了102个土壤剖面共计1 020 个土壤样品,运用转移概率的地质统计学方法构建了土壤质地种类的三维空间分布模型,在500次随机模拟的基础上,分别得到了土壤质地种类空间分布图及其概率分布图。结果表明,一维垂向转移概率可以很好地描述研究区垂直方向上各类型土壤空间分布的不对称性与各向异性。采用转移概率的方式来描述土壤质地种类空间分布的不确定性,能够有效克服传统地统计学基于交叉变异函数或空间插值建模的缺点。

    Abstract:

    The study on soil texture space variation is key to regional soil moisture solute cycle simulation. Condition simulation built on a Markov chain is a geostationary simulation method using multiple information sources, and has several advantages compared to the traditional interpolation and variogram-based conditional simulation. In this study, 1 020 soil samples from 102 soil profiles in FengQiu County were collected, and 3D spatial distribution models of soil texture types were built by using the transition probability method. On the basis of 500 realizations of stochastic simulation, the maps of soil texture type space distributions and their probability distributions were got. The results showed that 1D dimensional vertical transition probability was an effective way to describe the asymmetry and anisotropy of various soil spatial distributions in perpendicular direction of the study area. Using the approach of transition probability to describe the uncertainty in the spatial distribution of soil texture type could effectively overcome the shortcomings of traditional spatial interpolation.

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王伟鹏,刘建立,李晓鹏.基于转移概率的区域土壤三维随机模拟及其不确定性评价[J].土壤,2014,46(6):1121-1128. WANG Wei-peng, LIU Jian-li, LI Xiao-peng. Transition Probability Based 3D Stochastic Simulation and Uncertainty Assessment of Soil Texture at Field Scale[J]. Soils,2014,46(6):1121-1128

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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-01-20
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